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Tuesday, September 14, 2004

Dr. Newcomer's updates strengthen opinion that Rathergate docs are bogus

One of my readers emailed me to point out that Dr. Joseph M. Newcomer, whose fabulous and very technical Rathergate document analysis I posted about on Sunday, has posted updates to his original article in which he's responded to various questioners and critics.  Topics more fully addressed in the updates include "kerning and pseudo-kerning," "cut-and-paste signatures," "varitypers," and CBS' latest claim (which I haven't seen directly yet) about lower-case Ls versus numeral-ones.

This is fun to watch, because it's a guy with unquestionable expertise and no political axe to grind who's dealing in real time with every technical argument being thrown against the wall by the few folks who continue to insist that the documents are genuine.  As he does so, those arguments just keep sliding down the wall, and his conclusions that the CBS News documents are bogus just become stronger and more persuasive.

Dr. Newcomer's server traffic is mushrooming, but at least for now you can access his original article with the clearly-marked updates here.

Update (Tues Sep 14 @ 2:30am):  When I took typing in junior high in about, oh, 1971 or so, I seem to recall being taught to use the lower-case L in lieu of a numeral one because our old manual typewriters didn't even have a numeral-one key; to do an exclamation point, we had to do a period-backspace-apostrophe.  Am I hallucinating this memory?  I know that lots of old-school typists had that habit ingrained in them — using a lower-case L for a numeral one — and remember that it caused some problems in the transition to computers and word processors because, for example, spreadsheets reacted poorly when trying to do calculations on strings in which an L had been used instead of a numeral one.  Does this suggest that our forger is age 40+?

Update (Tues Sep 14 @ 3:30am): Nope, wasn't my imagination.  Here's the machine I learned to type on, an Olympia Standard model SG manual, of which our school's typing class had about 30.  It dates back to the late 1950s or early 1960s.  You can barely make it out in this picture, but — there's no numeral one/exclamation point key.

Dr. Newcomer thinks the CBS News' "expert" is wrong in stating that a lower-case L was used for the numeral ones anyway.  He further notes that if the person creating the document had ingrained habits of an old-school typist to use a lower-case L in lieu of the numeral one, he'd also have ingrained habits of using a capital O instead of the numeral zero; yet the documents clearly use zeros instead of capital O's. 

But returning to the CBS News rationale:  Even if one assumes that the Rathergate documents do use lower-case Ls instead of numeral ones, how is that supposed to prove that the documents were created on a typewriter?  We're supposed to hypothesize that Col. Killean had a typewriter sufficiently modern to be able to do proportional spacing, but that didn't have a numeral one key?!?  That dog clearly won't hunt.  Regardless of whether he was typing on a modern computer keyboard, or a typewriter of any era later than about 1910, the drafter of the CBS News documents would have had an L key available to him and could have used it — perhaps by ingrained habit.

If lower-case Ls were used, that doesn't point to an old typewriter, it points to an old typist.

(By the way, if you want, you can still buy a 43-key portable typewriter that lacks a numeral-one/exclamation-point key from Hammacher Schlemmer.  Tell 'em Beldar sent ya.)

Posted by Beldar at 01:31 AM in Mainstream Media, Politics (2006 & earlier) | Permalink

TrackBacks

Other weblog posts, if any, whose authors have linked to Dr. Newcomer's updates strengthen opinion that Rathergate docs are bogus and sent a trackback ping are listed here:


Comments

(1) Ernest Miller made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 3:15:09 AM | Permalink

More on the "1" vs. "l" issue here:

http://www.corante.com/importance/archives/006148.php

Lots of pretty pictures show that CBS's "expert" is wrong, as expected.

(2) Chris made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 8:16:15 AM | Permalink

"He further notes that if the person creating the document had ingrained habits of an old-school typist to use a lower-case L in lieu of the numeral one, he'd also have ingrained habits of using a capital O instead of the numeral zero; yet the documents clearly use zeros instead of capital O's."

Unless, of course, as you did, he/she trained on a typewriter with a "0" key but no "1" key.

(3) tom walsh made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 8:21:51 AM | Permalink

A more ingrained habit also comes to mind. After each period, there are two spaces in my automatic typing. Allows the mind to shift gears and prepare for new 'thought' (heh). Also a visual clue. Don't know why they stopped, but they did. Since the computer age. So, if an oldie did the docs, they'd have two spaces after each period, as shown here.
tom

(4) tom walsh made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 8:28:36 AM | Permalink

As you see, the 'magic webifinicator' took out one of the spaces that I typed... Hmm, maybe there is something that could be adduced in the CBS 'documents'.
tom

(5) kimsch made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 8:58:34 AM | Permalink

It seems that you and I are of an age. I also took typing (not keyboarding) classes in Jr High circa 1974. Do you remember the "picture puzzles" we used to do? Type 5 spaces, 6 ampersands, 15 spaces, 2 asterisks, etc. and come up with a wonderful portrait of President Lincoln? Can only be done on a monospaced typewriter.

(6) Al made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 9:49:34 AM | Permalink

The typewriters that have the 'best chance' of matching... are precisely the typewriters that have both els and ones. They even have keys we no longer have (e.g. extra quote keys).

(7) Beldar made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 10:26:43 AM | Permalink

Tom, I too habitually put two spaces after every period, even when I'm writing for the web.     Alas, web browsers ignore them unless one uses the .html code ( ) for two consecutive nonbreaking spaces, as I've used in this comment.   It looks odd in this context, doesn't it?   Using the nonbreaking spaces can also result in strange gaps at the left margin, especially on text that can shift its line endings when the browser window is resized (although this text doesn't do that because there's a set width for this "container" as part of my weblog's stylesheet), or when someone uses Internet Explorer's "View" pull-down menu to change his browser's text size.     There are a few typographical purists who blog with nonbreaking spaces to emulate a tab stop at the beginning of each paragraph, like Prof. Volokh for each of his paragraphs after the initial one in each post.     But doing so is a pain, and complicates editing.

Kimsch, you bet I remember making those picture puzzles.     I had to start over on that Lincoln portrait at least four times, maybe more.     And yes, my oldest son took a "keyboarding" class a couple of years ago, although he'd been touch-typing (courtesy of "Mario Teaches Typing") since before he could write a sentence in cursive handwriting.

(8) kimsch made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 10:51:24 AM | Permalink

I always type two spaces after a period too. Just can't help it. It's the way I was taught.

(9) d made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 11:54:18 AM | Permalink

You know, the forgeries are so poorly done that one might almost think that Dan Rather himself typed them up. It would explain why they don't want to reveal anything about the source!

(10) Dead Parrot James made the following comment | Sep 14, 2004 3:55:16 PM | Permalink

There actually are some L's used as 1's in one of the memos, possibly two. Not that it helps their case any. It appears to be more of an amateurish attempt to defeat Word's automatic superscripting since it will only auto-superscript if the preceding text (not just preceding character) is a number.

If you'll notice in the Aug. 1 memo in the subject and 1st paragraph, the character used to represent the one in "1st" sits too close to the "s". You can read Newcomer's analysis to see why (the -1 C width for l vs. the +1 C width for 1).

http://www.deadparrots.net/archives/media/0409of_ls_and_1s.html

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